Florida vs Ohio State 1/2/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 45% of simulations, and Ohio State 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. Ohio State wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Chris Rainey is averaging 61 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Dan Herron is averaging 85 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OHST +2 --- Over/Under line is 44
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Florida | ATS RECORD | Ohio State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-7-1 | All Games | 6-7-0 | Ohio State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-4-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | Ohio State |
| When Favored | 4-2-1 | When Underdog | 4-2-0 | Ohio State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-3-0 | Florida |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-6-1 | Opp Under .500 | 1-4-0 | Florida |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Florida | ATS RECORD | Ohio State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-6-0 | All Games | 10-2-1 | Ohio State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-2-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 2-2-1 | Florida |
| When Favored | 5-4-0 | When Underdog | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 5-0-0 | Ohio State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-5-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-2-1 | Ohio State |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Florida | O-U-P RECORD | Ohio State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-7-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-7-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 2-4-0 | At Home | 3-4-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals 2010 | 7-5-0 | All Totals 2010 | 8-4-1 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 4-2-0 | At Home 2010 | 6-2-0 | OVER |
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