January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Iowa vs Oklahoma 12/30/2011

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Oklahoma is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over Iowa. Landry Jones is averaging 370 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Roy Finch is projected for 107 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Iowa wins, James Vandenberg averages 2.1 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.04 TDs to 0.83 interceptions. DeAndre Johnson averages 51 rushing yards and 0.48 rushing TDs when Iowa wins and 47 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. Oklahoma has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OK -14 --- Over/Under line is 58

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

IowaATS RECORDOklahomaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-7-0All Games7-6-0Oklahoma
Road & Neutral Field1-5-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Oklahoma
When Underdog1-4-0When Favored7-5-0Oklahoma
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp4-0-0Oklahoma
Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Opp .500+ Record6-5-0Oklahoma

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

IowaATS RECORDOklahomaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-5-1All Games8-6-0Oklahoma
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Road & Neutral Field4-4-0Oklahoma
When Underdog1-1-1When Favored7-6-0Oklahoma
Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Non-Conference Opp3-4-0Iowa
Opp .500+ Record5-3-1Opp .500+ Record6-4-0Iowa

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

IowaO-U-P RECORDOklahomaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-7-0OVER
On Road2-4-0At Home3-3-0UNDER
All Totals 20104-8-0All Totals 20107-7-0UNDER
On Road 20103-3-0At Home 20101-5-0UNDER

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