January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Louisiana-Lafayette vs San Diego State 12/17/2011

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San Diego State is a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat Louisiana-Lafayette. Ronnie Hillman is projected for 123 rushing yards and a 79% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where Louisiana-Lafayette wins, Blaine Gautier averages 2.46 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.17 TDs to 0.95 interceptions. Alonzo Harris averages 63 rushing yards and 0.84 rushing TDs when Louisiana-Lafayette wins and 55 yards and 0.46 TDs in losses. San Diego State has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SDST -5 --- Over/Under line is 58.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Louisiana-LafayetteATS RECORDSan Diego StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-3-0All Games4-8-0Louisiana-Lafayette
Road & Neutral Field7-1-0Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Louisiana-Lafayette
When Underdog8-0-0When Favored2-6-0Louisiana-Lafayette
Non-Conference Opp4-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-4-0Louisiana-Lafayette
Opp .500+ Record4-0-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Louisiana-Lafayette

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Louisiana-LafayetteATS RECORDSan Diego StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-5-0All Games8-4-0San Diego State
Road & Neutral Field6-1-0Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Louisiana-Lafayette
When Underdog6-4-0When Favored5-3-0San Diego State
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp4-2-0San Diego State
Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Opp Under .5003-3-0Louisiana-Lafayette

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Louisiana-LafayetteO-U-P RECORDSan Diego StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-6-1OVER
On Road6-2-0At Home3-2-1OVER
All Totals 20106-5-1All Totals 20105-7-0UNDER
On Road 20103-3-1At Home 20102-3-0UNDER

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