January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Louisiana Tech vs TCU 12/21/2011

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TCU is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Louisiana Tech. Casey Pachall is averaging 238 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and Ed Wesley is projected for 82 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Louisiana Tech wins, Colby Cameron averages 2.35 TD passes vs 0.51 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.19 TDs to 0.72 interceptions. Hunter Lee averages 68 rushing yards and 0.48 rushing TDs when Louisiana Tech wins and 60 yards and 0.25 TDs in losses. TCU has a 34% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TCU -9.5 --- Over/Under line is 55.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Louisiana TechATS RECORDTCUATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-1-0All Games5-7-0Louisiana Tech
Road & Neutral Field8-0-0Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Louisiana Tech
When Underdog7-0-0When Favored4-7-0Louisiana Tech
Non-Conference Opp5-0-0Non-Conference Opp0-5-0Louisiana Tech
Opp .500+ Record3-0-0Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Louisiana Tech

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Louisiana TechATS RECORDTCUATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-6-0All Games6-6-0TCU
Road & Neutral Field2-3-0Road & Neutral Field3-3-0TCU
When Underdog3-4-0When Favored6-6-0TCU
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-4-0Louisiana Tech
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp Under .5003-2-0TCU

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Louisiana TechO-U-P RECORDTCUO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-8-1All Totals (O-U-P)8-4-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field1-7-0On Road & Neutral Field3-3-0UNDER
All Totals 20107-3-1All Totals 20105-6-1OVER
On Road & Neutral Field '104-0-1On Road & Neutral Field '103-2-1OVER

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