Louisville vs North Carolina State 12/27/2011
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
North Carolina State is a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat Louisville. James Washington is projected for 56 rushing yards and a 34% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where Louisville wins, Teddy Bridgewater averages 1.83 TD passes vs 0.72 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.91 TDs to 0.88 interceptions. Dominique Brown averages 51 rushing yards and 0.66 rushing TDs when Louisville wins and 41 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. North Carolina State has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST -1 --- Over/Under line is 44.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Louisville | ATS RECORD | North Carolina State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-4-0 | All Games | 6-4-1 | Louisville |
| Road & Neutral Field | 6-1-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 2-4-0 | Louisville |
| When Underdog | 6-1-0 | When Favored | 3-2-0 | Louisville |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-3-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-1-0 | North Carolina State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 6-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-2-1 | Louisville |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Louisville | ATS RECORD | North Carolina State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-5-0 | All Games | 9-3-0 | North Carolina State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 5-1-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 5-2-0 | Louisville |
| When Underdog | 2-4-0 | When Favored | 3-2-0 | North Carolina State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 3-1-0 | Louisville |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | North Carolina State |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Louisville | O-U-P RECORD | North Carolina State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-7-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 4-2-1 | At Home | 3-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 6-5-1 | All Totals 2010 | 5-7-0 | UNDER |
| On Road 2010 | 4-2-0 | At Home 2010 | 2-3-0 | OVER |
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