January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Penn State vs Houston 1/2/2012

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Houston is a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat Penn State. Charles Sims is projected for 58 rushing yards and a 37% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where Penn State wins, Rob Bolden averages 1.56 TD passes vs 1.26 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.73 TDs to 1.48 interceptions. Silas Redd averages 83 rushing yards and 0.83 rushing TDs when Penn State wins and 71 yards and 0.5 TDs in losses. Houston has a 48% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HOU -7 --- Over/Under line is 56.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Penn StateATS RECORDHoustonATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-8-0All Games10-3-0Houston
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Houston
When Underdog2-3-0When Favored10-3-0Houston
Non-Conference Opp0-4-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Houston
Opp .500+ Record3-6-0Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Houston

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Penn StateATS RECORDHoustonATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-7-0All Games3-7-1Penn State
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Road & Neutral Field2-4-0No Edge
When Underdog1-5-0When Favored2-3-1Houston
Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Non-Conference Opp0-3-0Penn State
Opp Under .5003-1-0Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Penn State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Penn StateO-U-P RECORDHoustonO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-10-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-5-1UNDER
On Road2-4-0At Home4-2-0OVER
All Totals 20107-5-0All Totals 20108-3-0OVER
On Road 20104-2-0At Home 20104-1-0OVER

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