January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Stanford vs Oklahoma State 1/2/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Stanford winning 48% of simulations, and Oklahoma State 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Stanford commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Oklahoma State wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Andrew Luck is averaging 272 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Brandon Weeden is averaging 322 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OKST -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 74

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

StanfordATS RECORDOklahoma StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-2-0All Games9-4-0Stanford
Road & Neutral Field6-0-0Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Stanford
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored8-4-0Stanford
Non-Conference Opp4-0-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Stanford
Opp .500+ Record7-2-0Opp .500+ Record7-3-0Stanford

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

StanfordATS RECORDOklahoma StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-3-1All Games10-3-0Oklahoma State
Road & Neutral Field5-1-1Road & Neutral Field6-0-0Oklahoma State
When Underdog0-1-0When Favored9-2-0Oklahoma State
Non-Conference Opp3-0-0Non-Conference Opp4-2-0Stanford
Opp .500+ Record4-2-0Opp .500+ Record7-3-0Oklahoma State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

StanfordO-U-P RECORDOklahoma StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-6-0OVER
On Road2-4-0At Home4-2-0UNDER
All Totals 20106-6-0All Totals 20108-5-0OVER
On Road 20102-5-0At Home 20107-0-0OVER

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