January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Texas A&M vs Northwestern 12/31/2011

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Texas A&M is a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat Northwestern. Cyrus Gray is projected for 107 rushing yards and a 72% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Northwestern wins, Dan Persa averages 1.06 TD passes vs 0.27 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.65 TDs to 0.33 interceptions. Jacob Schmidt averages 39 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when Northwestern wins and 34 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Texas A&M has a 36% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NW +10 --- Over/Under line is 66

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Texas A&MATS RECORDNorthwesternATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-9-0All Games5-7-0Northwestern
Road & Neutral Field1-5-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Northwestern
When Favored4-8-0When Underdog3-5-0Northwestern
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Northwestern
Opp Under .5002-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Texas A&M

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Texas A&MATS RECORDNorthwesternATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-5-0All Games3-9-0Texas A&M
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Road & Neutral Field2-5-0Texas A&M
When Favored5-2-0When Underdog2-4-0Texas A&M
Non-Conference Opp2-3-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Northwestern
Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Texas A&M

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas A&MO-U-P RECORDNorthwesternO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-7-0UNDER
On Road3-3-0At Home2-3-0UNDER
All Totals 20106-6-0All Totals 20108-4-0OVER
On Road 20104-2-0At Home 20103-2-0OVER

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