Virginia vs Auburn 12/31/2011
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Virginia winning 47% of simulations, and Auburn 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Virginia commits fewer turnovers in 28% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Auburn wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Michael Rocco is averaging 251 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Onterio McCalebb is averaging 90 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AUB -2 --- Over/Under line is 49
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Virginia | ATS RECORD | Auburn | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-7-1 | All Games | 5-7-0 | Auburn |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 2-5-0 | Virginia |
| When Underdog | 3-3-0 | When Favored | 2-2-0 | Virginia |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-4-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-3-0 | Auburn |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-5-0 | Auburn |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Virginia | ATS RECORD | Auburn | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-6-0 | All Games | 10-3-0 | Auburn |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-3-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 5-1-0 | Auburn |
| When Underdog | 3-5-0 | When Favored | 8-3-0 | Auburn |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Virginia |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-0-0 | Auburn |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Virginia | O-U-P RECORD | Auburn | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-8-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-5-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-3-0 | At Home | 3-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 6-4-0 | All Totals 2010 | 8-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 2-3-0 | At Home 2010 | 5-2-0 | OVER |
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