January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Wake Forest vs Mississippi State 12/30/2011

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Mississippi State is a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat Wake Forest. Vick Ballard is projected for 91 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Wake Forest wins, Tanner Price averages 1.64 TD passes vs 0.55 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.8 TDs to 0.82 interceptions. Brandon Pendergrass averages 64 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when Wake Forest wins and 54 yards and 0.29 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 48

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Wake ForestATS RECORDMississippi StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-5-0All Games4-7-1Wake Forest
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Road & Neutral Field2-5-0Wake Forest
When Underdog6-4-0When Favored3-4-0Wake Forest
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Wake Forest
Opp Under .5004-1-0Opp Under .5002-4-0Wake Forest

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Wake ForestATS RECORDMississippi StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-7-0All Games7-5-0Mississippi State
Road & Neutral Field1-5-0Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Mississippi State
When Underdog3-7-0When Favored6-2-0Mississippi State
Non-Conference Opp2-1-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Mississippi State
Opp .500+ Record1-5-0Opp Under .5002-1-0Mississippi State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Wake ForestO-U-P RECORDMississippi StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-8-0UNDER
On Road2-4-0At Home0-5-0UNDER
All Totals 20105-6-0All Totals 20105-6-1UNDER
On Road 20103-3-0At Home 20103-3-0UNDER

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