West Virginia vs Clemson 1/4/2012
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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with West Virginia winning 48% of simulations, and Clemson 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. West Virginia commits fewer turnovers in 37% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Clemson wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Geno Smith is averaging 258 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Andre Ellington is averaging 77 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CLEM -3 --- Over/Under line is 64
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| West Virginia | ATS RECORD | Clemson | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-4-1 | All Games | 8-4-0 | Clemson |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-1-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | West Virginia |
| When Underdog | 2-1-0 | When Favored | 6-3-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-1-1 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | West Virginia |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| West Virginia | ATS RECORD | Clemson | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-4-0 | All Games | 5-7-0 | West Virginia |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-0-0 | When Favored | 3-4-0 | West Virginia |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-3-0 | West Virginia |
| Opp Under .500 | 4-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-5-0 | West Virginia |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| West Virginia | O-U-P RECORD | Clemson | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-7-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-1-0 | At Home | 4-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 4-8-0 | All Totals 2010 | 2-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road 2010 | 1-5-0 | At Home 2010 | 1-5-0 | UNDER |
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