December 06, 2025 2:51 PM EST

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12/07/2025

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a solid favorite with a 75.0% chance to beat the New Orleans Saints. Bucky Irving is projected for 57.0 rushing yards and a 48.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25.0% of simulations where New Orleans Saints wins, Tyler Shough averages 2.84 TD passes vs 0.41 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.85 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Tyler Shough averages 61.0 rushing yards and 0.27 rushing TDs when New Orleans Saints wins and 40.0 yards and 0.11 TDs in losses. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers has a 82.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDTampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-8-1All Games 5-6-1No Edge
Road Games 20-30-10Home Games 1-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-7-1When Favored 3-2-1No Edge
Division Opp 1-2-0Division Opp 2-0-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Opp .500+ Record 2-6-0Opp Under .500 2-1-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDTampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-10-0All Games 10-8-0No Edge
Road Games 30-50-00Home Games 5-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-7-0When Favored 6-5-0No Edge
Division Opp 4-2-0Division Opp 2-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 52-82-0Opp Under .500 57-45-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New Orleans SaintsO-U-P RECORDTampa Bay BuccaneersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 6-6-0UNDER
On Road 3-3-0At Home 4-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 12-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-4-0At Home Last Season 6-4-0OVER

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