Projected Score
September 5 Runs Hits
Reds
3.9 8.7
Cardinals
4.1 8.7
Winning Pitcher: Chris Carpenter, STL  (50%)
Likely to Homer: Albert Pujols, STL  (26%)
Winning Probability based on AccuScore Simulation Results
Chances of a 'Big Win' ( By 4 or More Runs )
 15.1%
 16.0%
Chances of a 'Close Win' ( By 2 or Less Runs )
 22.3%
 31.7%
 
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AccuScore Projected Box Score
Batting
Cincinnati Reds AB R H RBI BB K HR
Brandon Phillips 4.3 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.12
Paul Janish 4.2 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.10
Joey Votto 4.1 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.23
Scott Rolen 4.0 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.16
Jay Bruce 4.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.0 0.14
Jonny Gomes 3.8 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.14
Drew Stubbs 3.7 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.2 0.10
Ramon Hernandez 3.6 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.06
Homer Bailey 3.4 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.00

St. Louis Cardinals AB R H RBI BB K HR
Skip Schumaker 4.1 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.04
Felipe Lopez 3.9 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.07
Albert Pujols 3.8 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.26
Matt Holliday 3.8 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.17
Colby Rasmus 3.7 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.2 0.19
Pedro Feliz 3.6 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.06
Yadier Molina 3.5 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.05
Brendan Ryan 3.4 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.02
Chris Carpenter 3.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.01

Pitching
Cincinnati Reds IP H R ER BB K HR W L
Homer Bailey 6.2 6.3 2.9 2.8 2.2 4.2 0.63 0.37 0.48
Relievers 2.2 2.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 0.23 0.06 0.09

St. Louis Cardinals IP H R ER BB K HR W L
Chris Carpenter 6.9 6.4 2.7 2.7 1.0 5.8 0.77 0.50 0.36
Relievers 2.0 2.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.6 0.27 0.07 0.07
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