September / October 2009 Highlights

By Stephen Oh

AccuScore.com Analyst

AccuScore is off to a strong start in the NFL going a combined 51-37, 58% +1030 on point spread and over-under picks based on the final posted lines. The record based on mid-week lines is not as good, but it is still a more than respectable 47-40, 54.0% including an 11-4 (73.3%) performance on point spread picks in Week 3. AccuScore has done best in close games where neither team is favored by more than 3 points. In these close games AccuScore is 19-8, 70.4% on point spread and over-unders. AccuScore has also been stronger in conference games going 21-12 in AFC games and 22-14 in NFC games, but just 8-11 in inter-conference games.

As expected AccuScore had a good Week 4 on College Football point spread picks going 30-19 (61.2%) based on mid-week lines and 29-21 (58.0%) based on final posted lines. AccuScore’s best NCAAF Totals picks have come mid-week going 105-74, 58.7% +2360 in September. The best point spread picks have come in ACC games (both inter and intra-conference) where AccuScore is 19-7, 73% +1130.

In MLB there are going to be a number of games that you may want to avoid based on teams not playing for anything resting key players. As the season winds down the best picks have come when the home team wins 45-65% of simulations. Side Value picks are 787-763, 50.8% +5753 and Money Line picks are slightly stronger at 893-657, 57.6% +6039. The Playoffs start in October

The NHL Season starts in October. Last year AccuScore delivered was +2762 on Side Value picks where the Home Team was a slight underdog or favored. This represents over a 150% ROI. Money Line picks (bet on team winning over 50% of simulations) delivered a +2500 profit (based on 100 unit risk per game) when the Home Team line was between +110 and -129).