The New York Yankees are 8-5 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 5-8 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman. Max Fried has a 73% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kevin Gausman has a 34% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Yankees has a 90% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 86%. In Kevin Gausman quality starts the Blue Jays win 36%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 36% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 90% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 1.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 24% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 29% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-8, 38% -190 | Record at Home | 8-5, 62% 32 | New York Yankees |
| VS New York Yankees | 1-0, 100% 120 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-1, 0% -100 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-9, 36% -315 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-9, 31% -614 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 10 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-5, 62% 32 | New York Yankees |
| When Kevin Gausman Starts | 3-2, 60% 80 | When Max Fried Starts | 5-0, 100% 296 | New York Yankees |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 35-46, 43% -938 | Record at Home | 48-40, 55% -1184 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS New York Yankees | 6-7, 46% -16 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 7-6, 54% -104 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 45-64, 41% -1743 | vs Team Under .500 | 36-30, 55% -965 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-38, 38% -993 | Record As Home Favorite | 47-37, 56% -990 | New York Yankees |
| When Kevin Gausman Starts | 18-15, 55% -88 | When Max Fried Starts | 15-13, 54% -406 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-11, 15% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-6, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-11, 15% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-8, 38% -264 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-8, 38% -417 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 30-51, 37% -1922 New York Yankees Home Games: 49-39, 56% +167
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-9, 31% -533 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-5, 62% +91 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 40-41, 49% -1336 New York Yankees Home Games: 46-42, 52% -1479
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 New York Yankees Home Games: 9-3, 75% + 570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 37-37, 50% -370 New York Yankees Home Games: 36-43, 46% -1130
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