The Detroit Tigers are 11-3 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 5-9 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Dean Kremer. Tarik Skubal has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dean Kremer has a 44% chance of a QS. If Tarik Skubal has a quality start the Tigers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.2 and he has a 56% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 66%. In Dean Kremer quality starts the Orioles win 55%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 1.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 24% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-9, 36% -403 | Record at Home | 11-3, 79% 524 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-0, 100% 83 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-11, 42% -379 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-4, 71% 350 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% -103 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-2, 82% 354 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Dean Kremer Starts | 2-3, 40% -118 | When Tarik Skubal Starts | 2-3, 40% -181 | Baltimore Orioles |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 47-34, 58% 511 | Record at Home | 44-39, 53% -116 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-4, 33% -300 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 4-2, 67% 225 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 48-48, 50% -657 | vs Team .500 or Better | 52-55, 49% 64 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-14, 52% 327 | Record As Home Favorite | 25-19, 57% -223 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Dean Kremer Starts | 11-14, 44% -396 | When Tarik Skubal Starts | 23-11, 68% 633 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-8, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Dean Kremer STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tarik Skubal STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 8-6, 57% +179 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 9-5, 64% +388 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 42-39, 52% -1723 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 45-38, 54% +493
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 8-6, 57% +96 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 11-3, 79% +439 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 46-35, 57% -14 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 44-39, 53% -695
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-4, 67% + 360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 34-42, 45% -1220 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 47-33, 59% + 1070
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