April 27, 2025 7:22 AM EST

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians 4/27/2025

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The Cleveland Guardians are 7-3 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 7-7 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Alex Bregman who averaged 1.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Boston Red SoxRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -60Record at Home7-3, 70% 160Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians1-0, 100% 95VS Boston Red Sox0-1, 0% -100Boston Red Sox
vs Team .500 or Better4-8, 33% -456vs Team .500 or Better2-5, 29% -313Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 35Record As Home Favorite6-1, 86% 260Cleveland Guardians
When Brayan Bello Starts1-0, 100% 80When Logan Allen Starts2-1, 67% 125Cleveland Guardians

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Boston Red SoxRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road43-38, 53% 595Record at Home54-32, 63% 952Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians2-5, 29% -308VS Boston Red Sox5-2, 71% 275Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better39-57, 41% -1591vs Team Under .50040-21, 66% 684Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog28-28, 50% 517Record As Home Favorite42-24, 64% 562Cleveland Guardians
When Brayan Bello Starts19-11, 63% 741When Logan Allen Starts11-10, 52% 50Boston Red Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston Red SoxRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD6-8, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brayan Bello STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-9, 36% -684 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-5, 50% -130 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 41-40, 51% -671 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 46-40, 53% -113

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-7, 50% -167 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-3, 70% +168 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 41-40, 51% -852 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 49-37, 57% +25

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-10, 23% -800 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 37-37, 50% -370 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 39-40, 49% -500

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