The Houston Astros are 4-7 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 10-4 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Hunter Brown is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Kris Bubic. Hunter Brown has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kris Bubic has a 54% chance of a QS. If Hunter Brown has a quality start the Astros has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 62%. In Kris Bubic quality starts the Royals win 59%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 74% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -323 | Record at Home | 10-4, 71% 406 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Houston Astros | 2-0, 100% 212 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-6, 45% -180 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -459 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-4, 20% -323 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-0, 100% 305 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Hunter Brown Starts | 3-2, 60% 52 | When Kris Bubic Starts | 3-2, 60% 29 | Houston Astros |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 42-38, 52% -308 | Record at Home | 46-37, 55% 3 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 4-3, 57% -51 | VS Houston Astros | 3-4, 43% -80 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 42-47, 47% -968 | vs Team .500 or Better | 49-59, 45% -811 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 27-25, 52% -648 | Record as Home Underdog | 18-19, 49% 12 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Hunter Brown Starts | 14-18, 44% -799 | When Kris Bubic Starts | 0-0 No Games | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 3-6, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-9, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-44, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Brown STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kris Bubic STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-5, 55% +5 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-7, 50% -74 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 39-41, 49% -1259 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 36-47, 43% -1328
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-5, 55% +44 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 8-6, 57% -6 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 49-31, 61% +932 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 48-35, 58% +289
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 11-3, 79% + 770 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Houston Astros Road Games: 41-30, 58% + 800 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 43-38, 53% + 120
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