The Washington Nationals are 8-6 at home this season and the New York Mets are 7-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Mitchell Parker has a 57% chance of a QS and Tylor Megill a 53% chance. If Mitchell Parker has a quality start the Nationals has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 52%. If Tylor Megill has a quality start the Mets has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Nathaniel Lowe who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 73% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% -184 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% 498 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% -44 | VS New York Mets | 1-1, 50% 54 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 12-6, 67% 135 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% 64 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-4, 56% -96 | Record as Home Underdog | 8-5, 62% 598 | Washington Nationals |
| When Tylor Megill Starts | 3-2, 60% 73 | When Mitchell Parker Starts | 4-1, 80% 350 | Washington Nationals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 47-42, 53% 796 | Record at Home | 38-43, 47% 83 | New York Mets |
| VS Washington Nationals | 11-2, 85% 593 | VS New York Mets | 2-11, 15% -897 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 40-23, 63% 653 | vs Team .500 or Better | 41-71, 37% -1152 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 18-14, 56% -159 | Record as Home Underdog | 25-33, 43% 112 | Washington Nationals |
| When Tylor Megill Starts | 8-6, 57% 145 | When Mitchell Parker Starts | 12-17, 41% -325 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-9, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-6, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tylor Megill STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitchell Parker STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 9-5, 64% -4 Washington Nationals Home Games: 8-6, 57% +342 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 43-46, 48% -1487 Washington Nationals Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1124
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-6, 57% -24 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-8, 43% -378 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 39-50, 44% -2023 Washington Nationals Home Games: 41-40, 51% -1147
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Mets Road Games: 45-32, 58% + 980 Washington Nationals Home Games: 32-33, 49% -430
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