The Baltimore Orioles are 22-25 at home this season and the Toronto Blue Jays are 23-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Braydon Fisher is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Charlie Morton. Braydon Fisher has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 37% chance of a QS. If Braydon Fisher has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.3 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 56%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Orioles win 72%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 69% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-25, 48% -175 | Record at Home | 22-25, 47% -675 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 3-3, 50% -39 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 3-3, 50% -24 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 24-13, 65% 473 | vs Team .500 or Better | 27-34, 44% -614 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-15, 50% 237 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-19, 41% -1020 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Braydon Fisher Starts | 1-0, 100% 62 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 7-9, 44% -237 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-3, 57% -44 | Record at Home | 4-3, 57% 112 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 1-0, 100% 89 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-7, 36% -291 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Record As Home Favorite | 1-2, 33% -124 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Braydon Fisher Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Charlie Morton Starts | 2-1, 67% 162 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-25, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 24-21, 53% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-5, 29% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-4, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Braydon Fisher STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 6-9, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 24-24, 50% -432 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 30-17, 64% +1319 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-4, 43% -141 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-2, 71% +299
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 25-23, 52% -195 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 27-20, 57% +282 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-3, 57% +18 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 3-4, 43% -144
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 20-23, 47% -530 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 20-21, 49% -310 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 290
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