The New York Yankees are 40-28 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 27-40 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Cade Cavalli. Max Fried has a 68% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cade Cavalli has a 37% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Yankees has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 79%. In Cade Cavalli quality starts the Nationals win 46%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 46% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 1.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 40% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-40, 40% -252 | Record at Home | 40-28, 59% -341 | Washington Nationals |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-0, 100% 96 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 26-47, 36% -1088 | vs Team Under .500 | 38-26, 59% -250 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-37, 40% -106 | Record As Home Favorite | 37-25, 60% -339 | Washington Nationals |
| When Cade Cavalli Starts | 1-0, 100% 157 | When Max Fried Starts | 16-12, 57% -371 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-9, 36% -139 | Record at Home | 9-7, 56% -143 | Washington Nationals |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-0, 100% 96 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-13, 28% -592 | vs Team Under .500 | 14-9, 61% 61 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-9, 36% -139 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-5, 62% -39 | New York Yankees |
| When Cade Cavalli Starts | 1-0, 100% 157 | When Max Fried Starts | 2-3, 40% -179 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-30, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 31-35, 47% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cade Cavalli STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS | 14-13, 52% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 37-30, 55% +189 New York Yankees Home Games: 36-32, 53% -197 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-5, 64% +292 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-8, 50% -180
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 40-27, 60% -329 New York Yankees Home Games: 41-27, 60% -53 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-6, 57% -171 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-6, 62% +86
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 24-37, 39% -1670 New York Yankees Home Games: 23-26, 47% -560 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-8, 33% -480 New York Yankees Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260
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