March 11, 2026 8:59 AM EST

NBA: Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets 2026-03-11 21:00:00.0

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The Denver Nuggets are solid 67.9 percent favorites over the Houston Rockets. The Rockets are shooting 48.5 percent from the field and the Nuggets are forecasted to shoot 52.0 percent. The Rockets have the rebounding advantage at 40.2 to 37.0. The Nuggets are committing fewer turnovers at 12.6 vs 16.4 for the Rockets. The Rockets are making 12.0 three pointers on 35.0 percent from three point range. The Nuggets are making 14.2 three pointers on 39.5 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Kevin Durant 25.9, Nikola Jokic 36.0 ASSISTS: Alperen Sengun 6.1, Nikola Jokic 10.1 REBOUNDS: Alperen Sengun 7.5, Nikola Jokic 10.8 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DEN -6.5 TOTAL 230.5. WIN-LOSS Houston Rockets 40-24 Denver Nuggets 39-26 ATS Houston Rockets 29-35 Sweat Barometer -1.6 Denver Nuggets 36-29 Sweat Barometer 0.7 OVER-UNDER Houston Rockets 28-36 Avg Over/Under Line -0.2 Denver Nuggets 43-21 Avg Over/Under Line 8.1 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Houston Rockets 38-24 Denver Nuggets 35-28 OVER-UNDER PICKS Houston Rockets 31-33 Denver Nuggets 42-22

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Rockets

Houston RocketsATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road18-16, 53.0% 200Record at Home17-13, 57.0% 400Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets1-2, 33.0% -120VS Houston Rockets2-1, 67.0% 90Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better20-15, 57.0% 350vs Team .500 or Better18-18, 50.0% -180Houston Rockets
Record As Road Underdog3-4, 43.0% -140Record As Home Favorite15-6, 71.0% 840Denver Nuggets
Playing Back-to-Back Days12-16, 43.0% -560After 1 or More Days Off19-16, 54.0% +140Denver Nuggets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Rockets

Houston RocketsATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road14-27, 34.0% -1300Record at Home37-11, 77.0% 2600Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets3-1, 75.0% 190VS Houston Rockets1-3, 25.0% -230Houston Rockets
vs Team .500 or Better20-32, 38.0% -1520vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520Denver Nuggets
Record As Road Underdog5-25, 17.0% -2250Record As Home Favorite36-11, 77.0% 2390Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off37-41, 47.0% -810After 1 or More Days Off63-29, 68.0% +3110Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston RocketsRECORDDenver NuggetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-16, 53.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-13, 57.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-19, 53.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-27, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home28-33, 46.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road41-21, 66.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 18-14, 56.0% +260 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 14-15, 48.0% -250 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 3-2, 60.0% +80 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 20-14, 59.0% + 420 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 19-11, 63.0% + 629 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 16-18, 47.0% +614 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 11-19, 37.0% 16 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 2-4, 33.0% -275 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -212

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