October 13, 2026 6:52 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers 10/13/2026

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 50.7 percent favorites over the New York Rangers. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 26 shots on goal vs 23 shots for the Rangers. The Rangers goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Dennis Hildeby 20, Igor Shesterkin 23 SHOTS: Brandon Hagel 4.4, Pavel Dorofeyev 2.8 GOALS: Brandon Hagel 0.72, Alexis Lafreniere 0.65 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mika Zibanejad has a 59% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Rangers

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-1, 50% -40Record at Home4-0, 100% 303Tampa Bay Lightning
VS New York Rangers0-1, 0% -100VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 109New York Rangers
vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 42vs Team .500 or Better2-2, 50% -12New York Rangers
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -40Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 109Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off4-1, 80% -348After 1 or More Days Off4-2, 67% -285Tampa Bay Lightning

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-22, 46% -296Record at Home25-22, 53% -482N/A
VS New York Rangers1-2, 33% -50VS Tampa Bay Lightning2-1, 67% 85N/A
vs Team .500 or Better18-26, 41% -778vs Team .500 or Better30-28, 52% -15N/A
Record as Road Favorite9-6, 60% 106Record as Home Underdog1-1, 50% 10N/A
After 1 or More Days Off41-40, 51% -5008After 1 or More Days Off54-39, 58% -5116N/A

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York RangersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME0-3, 0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-0, 100% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-3, 0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON9-17, 35% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home2-1, 67% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road2-2, 50% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-2, 0% -200 New York Rangers Home Games: 0-4, 0% -400 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-2, 0% -200

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -40 New York Rangers Home Games: 1-3, 25% +-264 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -40 New York Rangers Home Games: 1-3, 25% -264

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-0, 100% + 182 New York Rangers Home Games: 1-3, 25% -209 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-0, 100% + 182 New York Rangers Home Games: 1-3, 25% -209

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