October 14, 2025 2:47 PM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals 10/14/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 57.2 percent favorites over the Washington Capitals. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Capitals. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.6% compared to the Capitals goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 22, Logan Thompson 24 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.5, Alex Ovechkin 3.9 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.58, Alex Ovechkin 0.58 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 71% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Dylan Strome has a 54% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-0, 100% 69Record at Home0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-1, 50% -31vs Team Under .5001-0, 100% 100Washington Capitals
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 69Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesTampa Bay Lightning
Playing Back-to-Back Days0-0After 1 or More Days Off1-1, 50% 0N/A

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-0, 100% 69Record at Home0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-1, 50% -31vs Team Under .5001-0, 100% 100Washington Capitals
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 69Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesTampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off1-2, 33% -269After 1 or More Days Off1-1, 50% 0Washington Capitals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME1-1, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-0, 100% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-1, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-9, 64% OverOVER
Opp Averages <2.8 G at Home0-0Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road0-1, 0% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-0, 100% 0 Washington Capitals Home Games: 0-1, 0% -100 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-0, 100% 0

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-0, 100% +69 Washington Capitals Home Games: 0-1, 0% +-100 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-0, 100% +69 Washington Capitals Home Games: 0-1, 0% -100

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Washington Capitals Home Games: 1-0, 100% + 91 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Washington Capitals Home Games: 1-0, 100% + 91

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