December 05, 2025 2:06 PM EST

NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 12/6/2025

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are slight 54.6 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Canadiens. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.4% compared to the Canadiens goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.2%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sam Montembeault 24, Dennis Hildeby 22 SHOTS: Cole Caufield 3.3, Auston Matthews 4.6 GOALS: Patrik Laine 0.52, William Nylander 0.61 PTS: Nick Suzuki has a 50% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 59% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Montreal Canadiens

Montreal CanadiensRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-5, 58% 204Record at Home8-7, 53% -184Montreal Canadiens
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-1, 50% -16VS Montreal Canadiens1-1, 50% -39Montreal Canadiens
vs Team Under .50012-5, 71% 561vs Team .500 or Better6-8, 43% -296Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog5-5, 50% 49Record As Home Favorite8-5, 62% 16Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off12-10, 55% -1549After 1 or More Days Off10-12, 45% -1306Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-3, 40% -44Record at Home2-4, 33% -260Montreal Canadiens
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 84VS Montreal Canadiens0-1, 0% -100Montreal Canadiens
vs Team Under .5005-2, 71% 322vs Team Under .5004-3, 57% 82Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -44Record As Home Favorite2-2, 50% -60Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off4-7, 36% -613After 1 or More Days Off5-7, 42% -468Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-3, 75% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-4, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home17-3, 85% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road15-6, 71% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 4-8, 33% -568 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-9, 40% -355 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 1-4, 20% -320

MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 8-4, 67% +154 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 8-7, 53% +-148 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-2, 60% -9 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-4, 33% -248

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 4-8, 33% -436 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-11, 27% -736 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-3, 40% -118 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 1-5, 17% -409

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