December 05, 2025 2:06 PM EST

NHL: New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 12/6/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 69.6 percent favorites over the New York Islanders. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +1 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Islanders. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.2% compared to the Islanders goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.3%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Ilya Sorokin 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 24 SHOTS: Bo Horvat 3.1, Nikita Kucherov 3.7 GOALS: Anders Lee 0.39, Brayden Point 0.58 PTS: Mathew Barzal has a 40% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Islanders

New York IslandersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-5, 62% 531Record at Home8-6, 57% -46New York Islanders
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 115VS New York Islanders0-1, 0% -100New York Islanders
vs Team .500 or Better8-12, 40% -243vs Team Under .5007-4, 64% 208Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog8-3, 73% 731Record As Home Favorite7-6, 54% -145New York Islanders
After 1 or More Days Off11-13, 46% -465After 1 or More Days Off14-8, 64% -1270New York Islanders

PAST 30 DAYS

New York IslandersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-1, 86% 682Record at Home5-3, 62% 31New York Islanders
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 115VS New York Islanders0-1, 0% -100New York Islanders
vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% 141vs Team Under .5005-1, 83% 389Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog6-1, 86% 682Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% 31New York Islanders
After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% +179After 1 or More Days Off9-3, 75% -362New York Islanders

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York IslandersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD6-7, 46% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-7, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-6, 14% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-24, 33% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home12-10, 55% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road11-11, 50% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - New York Islanders Road Games: 6-7, 46% +65 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 9-5, 64% +281 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Islanders Road Games: 3-4, 43% +17 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-2, 75% +259

MONEY LINE - New York Islanders Road Games: 4-9, 31% -588 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 7-7, 50% +-218 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Islanders Road Games: 1-6, 14% -559 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-3, 62% +31

OVER-UNDER RECORD - New York Islanders Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 610 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-11, 21% -827 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Islanders Road Games: 7-0, 100% + 637 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 1-7, 12% -609

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