December 07, 2025 5:48 AM EST

NHL: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars 12/7/2025

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The Dallas Stars are heavy 66.5 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Stars are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Penguins. The Stars goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.4% compared to the Penguins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Tristan Jarry 24, Jake Oettinger 23 SHOTS: Sidney Crosby 3.1, Mikko Rantanen 3 GOALS: Bryan Rust 0.46, Mikko Rantanen 0.6 PTS: Sidney Crosby has a 53% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mikko Rantanen has a 62% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDDallas StarsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-6, 57% 426Record at Home9-5, 64% 76Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Dallas Stars0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50% 102vs Team .500 or Better8-4, 67% 265Dallas Stars
Record As Road Underdog7-3, 70% 661Record As Home Favorite8-5, 62% -16Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off14-8, 64% -413After 1 or More Days Off15-10, 60% -1516Pittsburgh Penguins

PAST 30 DAYS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDDallas StarsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 164Record at Home5-1, 83% 166Dallas Stars
VS Dallas Stars0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-2, 50% 45vs Team Under .5007-1, 88% 421Dallas Stars
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 264Record As Home Favorite5-1, 83% 166Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off5-3, 62% -91After 1 or More Days Off9-3, 75% -517Pittsburgh Penguins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDDallas StarsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-6, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-8, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-15, 44% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home12-6, 67% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road11-8, 58% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 9-5, 64% +446 Dallas Stars Home Games: 4-10, 29% -604 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 2-3, 40% -81 Dallas Stars Home Games: 1-5, 17% -435

MONEY LINE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 5-9, 36% -542 Dallas Stars Home Games: 7-7, 50% +-275 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 2-3, 40% -137 Dallas Stars Home Games: 4-2, 67% -6

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 7-7, 50% -63 Dallas Stars Home Games: 5-9, 36% -445 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Dallas Stars Home Games: 3-3, 50% -27

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