March 02, 2026 1:35 PM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild 3/3/2026

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The Minnesota Wild are slight 51.9 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Wild are favored despite being projected for 26 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Lightning. The Wild goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.8% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 90.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 24, Filip Gustavsson 24 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.7, Matt Boldy 4 GOALS: Nikita Kucherov 0.37, Quinn Hughes 0.49 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 58% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Quinn Hughes has a 60% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDMinnesota WildRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-10, 66% 624Record at Home17-14, 55% -7Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Minnesota Wild0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better22-12, 65% 490vs Team .500 or Better14-15, 48% -130Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite10-7, 59% -3Record as Home Underdog4-1, 80% 373Minnesota Wild
After 1 or More Days Off32-15, 68% -2932After 1 or More Days Off32-18, 64% -1869Minnesota Wild

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDMinnesota WildRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-1, 0% -100Record at Home1-1, 50% -23Minnesota Wild
VS Minnesota Wild0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-2, 50% -98vs Team .500 or Better3-1, 75% 171Minnesota Wild
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesN/A
After 1 or More Days Off4-1, 80% -303After 1 or More Days Off4-1, 80% -5Minnesota Wild

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDMinnesota WildRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-13, 55% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-10, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-0, 100% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON20-12, 62% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home25-17, 60% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road27-16, 63% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 19-10, 66% -372 Minnesota Wild Home Games: 17-14, 55% +501 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Minnesota Wild Home Games: 1-1, 50% +89

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 19-10, 66% +549 Minnesota Wild Home Games: 15-16, 48% +-428 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Minnesota Wild Home Games: 1-1, 50% -23

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 16-13, 55% + 156 Minnesota Wild Home Games: 13-18, 42% -617 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-0, 100% + 91 Minnesota Wild Home Games: 1-1, 50% -9

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