October 14, 2025 7:50 AM EST

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers 10/19/2025

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Expect a close game with the Atlanta Falcons winning 51.0% of simulations, and the San Francisco 49ers 49.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Atlanta Falcons commit fewer turnovers in 58.0% of simulations and they go on to win 68.0% when they take care of the ball. The San Francisco 49ers wins 74.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bijan Robinson is averaging 78.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Christian McCaffrey is averaging 56.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (17.0% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-2-0All Games 3-3-0No Edge
Road Games 10-10-00Home Games 0-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-1-0When Favored 2-2-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-0-0Non-Division Opp 1-2-0Atlanta Falcons
Opp .500+ Record 3-0-0Opp .500+ Record 1-3-0Atlanta Falcons

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-11-0All Games 5-12-0No Edge
Road Games 30-50-00Home Games 4-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-4-0When Favored 5-8-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-8-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 44-52-0Opp Under .500 39-53-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDSan Francisco 49ersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-4-0All Totals (O-U-P) 4-2-0UNDER
On Road 0-2-0At Home 1-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-8-1All Totals Last Season 11-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-3-1At Home Last Season 5-4-0OVER

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