October 14, 2025 7:50 AM EST

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs 10/19/2025

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The Kansas City Chiefs are a heavy favorite winning 81.0% of simulations over the Las Vegas Raiders. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 222.0 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per simulation and Kareem Hunt is projected for 66.0 rushing yards and a 59.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19.0% of simulations where Las Vegas Raiders wins, Geno Smith averages 1.47 TD passes vs 0.74 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.99 TDs to 1.53 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty averages 124.0 rushing yards and 1.42 rushing TDs when Las Vegas Raiders wins and 56.0 yards and 0.5 TDs in losses. Kansas City Chiefs has a 75.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Las Vegas RaidersATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-4-0All Games 3-3-0No Edge
Road Games 10-20-00Home Games 2-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-3-0When Favored 2-2-0No Edge
Division Opp 0-1-0Division Opp 0-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-3-0Opp Under .500 2-0-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Las Vegas RaidersATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-9-0All Games 9-11-0No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 4-6-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-8-0When Favored 8-8-0No Edge
Division Opp 2-4-0Division Opp 1-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 59-76-0Opp Under .500 35-62-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Las Vegas RaidersO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-3-1All Totals (O-U-P) 2-3-1UNDER
On Road 1-1-1At Home 1-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-8-0All Totals Last Season 9-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-5-0At Home Last Season 5-5-0UNDER

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