October 14, 2025 7:50 AM EST

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns 10/19/2025

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Expect a close game with the Miami Dolphins winning 54.0% of simulations, and the Cleveland Browns 46.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Miami Dolphins commit fewer turnovers in 56.0% of simulations and they go on to win 67.0% when they take care of the ball. The Cleveland Browns wins 64.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. De'Von Achane is averaging 62.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (13.0% chance) then he helps his team win 85%. Quinshon Judkins is averaging 64.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19.0% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDCleveland BrownsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-3-0All Games 2-4-0No Edge
Road Games 10-20-00Home Games 2-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-1-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 1-2-0Non-Division Opp 1-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-2-0Opp Under .500 0-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDCleveland BrownsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-10-0All Games 4-13-0No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 2-6-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-5-0When Favored 0-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 4-7-0Non-Division Opp 2-9-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 65-70-0Opp Under .500 17-91-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDCleveland BrownsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-4-0OVER
On Road 2-1-0At Home 1-2-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 7-9-1UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-7-0At Home Last Season 3-5-0UNDER

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