Expect a close game with the New Orleans Saints winning 45.0% of simulations, and the Chicago Bears 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New Orleans Saints commit fewer turnovers in 25.0% of simulations and they go on to win 67.0% when they take care of the ball. The Chicago Bears wins 62.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alvin Kamara is averaging 63.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15.0% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Dandre Swift is averaging 56.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21.0% chance) then he helps his team win 79%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| New Orleans Saints | ATS RECORD | Chicago Bears | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2-4-0 | All Games | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 10-10-00 | Home Games | 1-1-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-4-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Non-Division Opp | 3-0-0 | Chicago Bears |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-1-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| New Orleans Saints | ATS RECORD | Chicago Bears | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 7-10-0 | All Games | 8-8-1 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 30-50-00 | Home Games | 6-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 5-7-0 | When Favored | 4-1-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-8-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 46-58-0 | Opp Under .500 | 56-36-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New Orleans Saints | O-U-P RECORD | Chicago Bears | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-2-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-0-0 | At Home | 1-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-4-0 | OVER |
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