November 08, 2026 4:55 PM EST

NHL: Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 11/10/2026

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The Colorado Avalanche are heavy 67 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Avalanche are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Avalanche goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.5% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: M. Blackwood 23, Sergei Bobrovsky 27 SHOTS: Nathan MacKinnon 3.8, Auston Matthews 3.4 GOALS: Artturi Lehkonen 0.66, Auston Matthews 0.56 PTS: Nathan MacKinnon has a 72% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 67% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Colorado AvalancheRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -329Record at Home4-5, 44% -201Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-1, 0% -100VS Colorado Avalanche1-0, 100% 179Colorado Avalanche
vs Team Under .5006-5, 55% -252vs Team .500 or Better4-7, 36% -196Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite3-5, 38% -329Record as Home Underdog1-1, 50% -9Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off8-4, 67% -832After 1 or More Days Off6-9, 40% -847Colorado Avalanche

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Colorado AvalancheRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-32, 22% -1772Record at Home22-22, 50% -285N/A
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-1, 50% 6VS Colorado Avalanche1-1, 50% -30N/A
vs Team Under .50011-22, 33% -889vs Team Under .50022-13, 63% 520N/A
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog9-8, 53% 204N/A
After 1 or More Days Off22-59, 27% -2957After 1 or More Days Off42-46, 48% -3707N/A

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-3, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-1, 88% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-1, 86% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-15, 52% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home10-1, 91% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road8-5, 62% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 2-6, 25% -600 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-6, 33% -332 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 1-5, 17% -500 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 1-4, 20% -324

MONEY LINE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 3-5, 38% -329 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-4, 56% +-8 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 2-4, 33% -270 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-3, 40% -152

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 4-4, 50% -36 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 55 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 73

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