The Buffalo Sabres are slight 53.3 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Sabres are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Lightning. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.8% compared to the Sabres goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 25, Colten Ellis 23 SHOTS: Brandon Hagel 4.1, Tage Thompson 4.1 GOALS: Brandon Hagel 0.59, Tage Thompson 0.64 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tage Thompson has a 58% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-5, 29% -346 | Record at Home | 3-4, 43% -169 | Buffalo Sabres |
| VS Buffalo Sabres | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-1, 80% 50 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-6, 25% -416 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-3, 25% -240 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-2, 33% -107 | Buffalo Sabres |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 9-4, 69% -885 | After 1 or More Days Off | 7-7, 50% -1261 | Buffalo Sabres |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Buffalo Sabres
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-22, 46% -296 | Record at Home | 20-21, 49% 74 | N/A |
| VS Buffalo Sabres | 4-0, 100% 260 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-4, 0% -400 | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 24-14, 63% 393 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-29, 40% -257 | N/A |
| Record as Road Favorite | 9-6, 60% 106 | Record as Home Underdog | 15-15, 50% 298 | N/A |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 41-40, 51% -5008 | After 1 or More Days Off | 33-49, 40% -1680 | N/A |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-1, 86% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-2, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-1, 83% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-2, 71% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-12, 57% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages <2.8 G at Home | 1-2, 33% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 6-5, 55% OVER | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-4, 43% -38 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 4-3, 57% +20 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-3, 50% +62 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20
MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-5, 29% -361 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 4-3, 57% 20 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-4, 33% -261 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 255 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 255 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 164 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 2-2, 50% -18
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