November 09, 2026 5:59 AM EST

NHL: Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 11/12/2026

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The Minnesota Wild are slight 54.5 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Wild are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 30 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.7% compared to the Wild goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.2%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jesper Wallstedt 24, Sergei Bobrovsky 27 SHOTS: Matt Boldy 4.2, Auston Matthews 3.4 GOALS: Kirill Kaprizov 0.73, Auston Matthews 0.57 PTS: Quinn Hughes has a 69% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 65% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Wild

Minnesota WildRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-5, 58% 70Record at Home4-7, 36% -401Minnesota Wild
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Minnesota Wild0-0 No GamesMinnesota Wild
vs Team Under .5006-4, 60% -59vs Team .500 or Better3-8, 27% -376Minnesota Wild
Record as Road Favorite5-2, 71% 143Record as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -209Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off11-5, 69% -869After 1 or More Days Off6-10, 38% -947Toronto Maple Leafs

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Wild

Minnesota WildRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-20, 53% 166Record at Home22-22, 50% -285N/A
VS Toronto Maple Leafs2-0, 100% 171VS Minnesota Wild0-2, 0% -200N/A
vs Team Under .50024-14, 63% 218vs Team .500 or Better20-33, 38% -861N/A
Record as Road Favorite11-9, 55% -51Record as Home Underdog9-8, 53% 204N/A
After 1 or More Days Off50-36, 58% -5180After 1 or More Days Off42-46, 48% -3707N/A

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota WildRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-9, 25% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-1, 88% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-1, 86% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON20-12, 62% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages <2.8 G at Home2-3, 40% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road8-6, 57% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Minnesota Wild Road Games: 6-6, 50% -36 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-7, 36% -347 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Wild Road Games: 4-5, 44% -29 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-5, 29% -339

MONEY LINE - Minnesota Wild Road Games: 8-4, 67% +245 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-5, 55% +-23 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Wild Road Games: 6-3, 67% +176 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-4, 43% -167

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Minnesota Wild Road Games: 8-4, 67% + 328 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 237 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Wild Road Games: 7-2, 78% + 437 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 255

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